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6 of 8 matches with xG: 14 goals from 12.0 xG (1.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 Hebar 1918 | 2.28–0.52 | 77% · 16% · 7% | Won against the xG: Hebar 1918 |
| Cherno More Varna 1–0 CSKA Sofia | 0.92–0.30 | 50% · 38% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Levski Sofia 4–0 Arda Kardzhali | 1.43–0.53 | 59% · 27% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 0–2 Levski Krumovgrad | 0.33–2.53 | 3% · 12% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Levski Krumovgrad |
| CSKA 1948 1–1 Slavia Sofia | 0.50–0.99 | 18% · 35% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Beroe 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.55–1.16 | 18% · 32% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.