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4 of 8 matches with xG: 7 goals from 9.4 xG (0.74 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe 1–0 Slavia Sofia | 0.38–0.70 | 18% · 44% · 39% | Won against the xG: Beroe |
| CSKA 1948 0–1 Botev Plovdiv | 0.88–0.35 | 47% · 39% · 14% | Won against the xG: Botev Plovdiv |
| Levski Sofia 2–1 Arda Kardzhali | 3.29–1.53 | 72% · 14% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.10–2.17 | 1% · 13% · 86% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.