Bulgaria First League 2024/2025 xG Round-Up: Matchday 11

Matchday 11 in xG

3 of 8 matches with xG: 3 goals from 5.8 xG (0.52 goals per xG).

• Biggest win against the xG: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Levski Sofia (xG 0.13–1.90). The winner had 2% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Ludogorets 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv (xG 1.57–0.20). The winner had 73% on xG.
• Most xG: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Levski Sofia (xG 0.13–1.90). 2.03 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Levski Sofia (xG 0.13–1.90). An xG gap of 1.77.
• Most goals above xG: Botev Plovdiv, +0.87 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Levski Sofia, -1.90 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 10 · Matchday 12