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6 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 18.6 xG (1.13 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hebar 1918 2–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 3.17–2.12 | 59% · 16% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Hebar 1918 |
| Ludogorets 3–0 Botev Vratsa | 2.62–0.69 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| CSKA Sofia 1–1 Cherno More Varna | 0.58–0.76 | 25% · 39% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Spartak Varna 4–2 Septemvri Sofia | 1.71–1.11 | 51% · 24% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Spartak Varna |
| Botev Plovdiv 0–5 CSKA 1948 | 0.70–2.53 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Levski Sofia | 2.00–0.58 | 71% · 19% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Arda Kardzhali had 71% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.