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7 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.9 xG (0.82 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia 2–1 Spartak Varna | 2.05–1.04 | 61% · 21% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 1–0 Hebar 1918 | 1.20–0.39 | 57% · 31% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Botev Vratsa |
| CSKA 1948 4–1 Levski Krumovgrad | 3.06–0.29 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–1 CSKA Sofia | 0.22–0.92 | 9% · 39% · 53% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Beroe 1–4 Arda Kardzhali | 1.76–4.36 | 10% · 10% · 80% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Ludogorets | 1.70–2.01 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Close call, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won |
| Levski Sofia 1–1 Botev Plovdiv | 2.53–0.40 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Levski Sofia had 84% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.