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6 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 15.1 xG (1.06 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Sofia 3–1 Spartak Varna | 2.18–2.16 | 40% · 20% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Sofia |
| Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Hebar 1918 | 1.78–0.95 | 57% · 23% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Beroe 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.99–0.53 | 46% · 35% · 19% | Won against the xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Levski Sofia 3–0 Levski Krumovgrad | 2.20–0.63 | 73% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 0.47–0.80 | 20% · 40% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Sofia |
| Cherno More Varna 2–1 Botev Vratsa | 1.92–0.44 | 73% · 19% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.