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8 of 8 matches with xG: 10 goals from 19.5 xG (0.51 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna 1–0 Arda Kardzhali | 0.22–1.68 | 4% · 21% · 75% | Won against the xG: Spartak Varna |
| Levski Krumovgrad 0–1 Beroe | 1.68–0.91 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Won against the xG: Beroe |
| CSKA Sofia 0–1 Slavia Sofia | 1.23–2.98 | 13% · 14% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Slavia Sofia |
| Ludogorets 1–0 Levski Sofia | 0.63–0.67 | 29% · 40% · 31% | Close call, Ludogorets won |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 0–0 CSKA 1948 | 0.28–1.09 | 9% · 34% · 57% | Draw against the xG: CSKA 1948 had 57% |
| Hebar 1918 0–1 Botev Plovdiv | 0.73–1.95 | 13% · 21% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Botev Plovdiv |
| Botev Vratsa 2–0 Septemvri Sofia | 1.54–1.26 | 44% · 25% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Botev Vratsa |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–2 Cherno More Varna | 0.75–1.94 | 14% · 21% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.