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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 22.7 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA 1948 1–0 Arda Kardzhali | 0.69–1.93 | 12% · 21% · 67% | Won against the xG: CSKA 1948 |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Cherno More Varna | 2.03–1.52 | 50% · 21% · 29% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 5–0 Septemvri Sofia | 3.29–0.37 | 91% · 7% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Botev Plovdiv 1–1 CSKA Sofia | 1.05–1.59 | 25% · 25% · 50% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slavia Sofia 2–2 Botev Vratsa | 1.91–0.88 | 62% · 22% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Slavia Sofia had 62% |
| Levski Sofia 5–0 Montana | 3.10–1.09 | 77% · 13% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Dobrudzha | 1.83–0.16 | 79% · 18% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Spartak Varna 0–0 Beroe | 0.52–0.70 | 24% · 41% · 35% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.