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8 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.5 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa 0–1 Ludogorets | 0.24–0.94 | 9% · 38% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Beroe 1–1 CSKA 1948 | 0.89–2.70 | 10% · 15% · 76% | Draw against the xG: CSKA 1948 had 76% |
| CSKA Sofia 1–1 Spartak Varna | 3.32–0.51 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Draw against the xG: CSKA Sofia had 89% |
| Cherno More Varna 2–1 Botev Plovdiv | 2.03–1.72 | 46% · 21% · 33% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Septemvri Sofia 1–2 Levski Sofia | 0.77–1.44 | 20% · 27% · 53% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Arda Kardzhali 1–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.24–0.83 | 46% · 29% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dobrudzha 2–1 Slavia Sofia | 1.57–0.83 | 55% · 25% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Dobrudzha |
| Montana 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.39–1.05 | 14% · 34% · 52% | Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.