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Bulgaria First League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 3

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Matches

Matchday 3 in xG

8 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 23.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Spartak Varna 1–1 Botev Vratsa0.42–1.987% · 18% · 75%Draw against the xG: Botev Vratsa had 75%
CSKA 1948 2–1 Septemvri Sofia1.86–2.1235% · 21% · 45%Close call, CSKA 1948 won
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 CSKA Sofia0.82–0.8332% · 35% · 33%Close call, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won
Ludogorets 2–1 Dobrudzha3.44–0.9583% · 10% · 6%Win in line with xG for Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Sofia 3–0 Montana1.37–1.6831% · 24% · 45%Close call, Lokomotiv Sofia won
Levski Sofia 2–0 Slavia Sofia1.19–0.2162% · 31% · 6%Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna 4–0 Beroe2.12–1.5152% · 21% · 27%Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv 0–5 Arda Kardzhali0.58–2.377% · 15% · 77%Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 2 · Matchday 4

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