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8 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 23.2 xG (0.65 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dobrudzha 2–1 CSKA 1948 | 0.84–1.31 | 24% · 28% · 48% | Won against the xG: Dobrudzha |
| Montana 0–0 Botev Vratsa | 0.51–2.37 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Draw against the xG: Botev Vratsa had 79% |
| CSKA Sofia 0–0 Cherno More Varna | 0.46–0.59 | 23% · 45% · 32% | Draw in line with xG |
| Slavia Sofia 0–3 Ludogorets | 0.93–2.44 | 12% · 17% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Levski Sofia 2–1 Spartak Varna | 3.19–0.08 | 95% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Botev Plovdiv 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.16–0.96 | 40% · 30% · 30% | Close call, Lokomotiv Sofia won |
| Septemvri Sofia 2–3 Beroe | 3.74–3.85 | 41% · 15% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Beroe |
| Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.40–0.40 | 24% · 52% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.