Bulgaria First League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 5

Matchday 5 in xG

2 of 8 matches with xG: 6 goals from 4.9 xG (1.23 goals per xG).

• Biggest win against the xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Slavia Sofia (xG 0.98–1.88). The winner had 19% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: CSKA 1948 2–1 Montana (xG 1.71–0.30). The winner had 73% on xG.
• Most xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2–1 Slavia Sofia (xG 0.98–1.88). 2.86 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: CSKA 1948 2–1 Montana (xG 1.71–0.30). An xG gap of 1.41.
• Most goals above xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv, +1.02 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: Slavia Sofia, -0.88 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 4 · Matchday 6