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1 of 8 matches with xG: 4 goals from 1.9 xG (2.16 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe 0–4 Ludogorets | 0.14–1.71 | 3% · 20% · 78% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.