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Bulgaria First League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 11

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Matches

Matchday 11 in xG

8 of 8 matches with xG: 21 goals from 23.0 xG (0.91 goals per xG).

Every match

MatchxGChances (home · draw · away)Result on xG
Septemvri Sofia 2–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv1.52–2.3524% · 20% · 56%Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 56%
Slavia Sofia 2–0 Lokomotiv Sofia0.57–3.234% · 9% · 88%Won against the xG: Slavia Sofia
CSKA 1948 1–1 Spartak Varna1.19–0.8943% · 30% · 27%Draw in line with xG
Montana 1–3 Cherno More Varna1.17–1.2734% · 27% · 39%Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia 3–1 Beroe4.09–0.6493% · 5% · 2%Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia
Dobrudzha 0–2 Arda Kardzhali1.62–1.5440% · 24% · 36%Close call, Arda Kardzhali won
Botev Vratsa 1–2 Botev Plovdiv0.94–0.5444% · 36% · 20%Won against the xG: Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia 0–0 Ludogorets0.98–0.4548% · 36% · 17%Draw in line with xG

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

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Matchday 6 · Matchday 12

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