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7 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 18.7 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3–0 Botev Vratsa | 1.84–0.94 | 59% · 23% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Slavia Sofia | 0.82–1.15 | 26% · 31% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 1–1 Spartak Varna | 2.51–0.61 | 79% · 14% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Ludogorets had 79% |
| Dobrudzha 0–1 CSKA Sofia | 0.38–0.51 | 21% · 49% · 30% | Close call, CSKA Sofia won |
| Cherno More Varna 1–3 Levski Sofia | 1.95–2.33 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Arda Kardzhali 0–1 Septemvri Sofia | 2.62–1.23 | 67% · 17% · 16% | Won against the xG: Septemvri Sofia |
| Beroe 1–1 Montana | 0.26–1.58 | 6% · 23% · 71% | Draw against the xG: Montana had 71% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.