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3 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 10.8 xG (1.02 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana 1–1 Arda Kardzhali | 0.57–0.54 | 29% · 44% · 27% | Draw in line with xG |
| Spartak Varna 3–2 Botev Plovdiv | 1.88–2.38 | 31% · 19% · 50% | Close call, Spartak Varna won |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 2–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 2.26–3.19 | 27% · 16% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.