Bulgaria First League 2025/2026 xG Round-Up: Matchday 14

Matchday 14 in xG

2 of 8 matches with xG: 4 goals from 3.4 xG (1.17 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: Botev Vratsa 0–0 CSKA 1948 (xG 0.23–1.16). Draw against the xG: CSKA 1948 had 61% to win on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Beroe 1–3 Lokomotiv Sofia (xG 0.49–1.54). The winner had 63% on xG.
• Most xG: Beroe 1–3 Lokomotiv Sofia (xG 0.49–1.54). 2.03 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Beroe 1–3 Lokomotiv Sofia (xG 0.49–1.54). An xG gap of 1.05.
• Most goals above xG: Lokomotiv Sofia, +1.46 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: CSKA 1948, -1.16 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 13 · Matchday 15