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8 of 8 matches with xG: 20 goals from 23.6 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna 1–4 Septemvri Sofia | 1.72–2.06 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Septemvri Sofia |
| Botev Plovdiv 2–1 Dobrudzha | 1.31–1.65 | 30% · 24% · 45% | Close call, Botev Plovdiv won |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 0–1 Botev Vratsa | 1.44–0.74 | 54% · 27% · 19% | Won against the xG: Botev Vratsa |
| Levski Sofia 0–1 CSKA Sofia | 2.06–0.99 | 62% · 21% · 17% | Won against the xG: CSKA Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 Beroe | 1.87–0.76 | 64% · 22% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
| Slavia Sofia 2–1 Montana | 2.01–2.09 | 38% · 20% · 41% | Close call, Slavia Sofia won |
| CSKA 1948 0–1 Cherno More Varna | 1.95–0.55 | 71% · 20% · 9% | Won against the xG: Cherno More Varna |
| Ludogorets 2–3 Arda Kardzhali | 1.29–1.10 | 41% · 28% · 32% | Close call, Arda Kardzhali won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.