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8 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 20.4 xG (0.88 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beroe 0–0 Spartak Varna | 0.98–0.78 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
| Arda Kardzhali 3–0 CSKA 1948 | 2.15–0.56 | 74% · 17% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Cherno More Varna 0–1 Lokomotiv Sofia | 0.45–1.42 | 12% · 27% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Lokomotiv Sofia |
| CSKA Sofia 2–1 Botev Plovdiv | 2.85–1.40 | 67% · 16% · 16% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Dobrudzha 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0.55–0.90 | 21% · 37% · 42% | Draw in line with xG |
| Septemvri Sofia 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.63–2.04 | 10% · 19% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Montana 1–5 Levski Sofia | 0.67–2.50 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 0–1 Slavia Sofia | 1.25–1.22 | 37% · 27% · 36% | Close call, Slavia Sofia won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.