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7 of 8 matches with xG: 17 goals from 13.8 xG (1.23 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana 1–2 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.01–0.81 | 39% · 32% · 28% | Close call, Lokomotiv Sofia won |
| Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Botev Plovdiv | 0.80–0.38 | 43% · 41% · 16% | Draw in line with xG |
| Septemvri Sofia 1–4 CSKA 1948 | 1.36–1.37 | 37% · 26% · 37% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| CSKA Sofia 2–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1.82–0.48 | 70% · 21% · 9% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Dobrudzha 0–2 Ludogorets | 0.28–1.41 | 7% · 26% · 66% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Botev Vratsa 2–0 Spartak Varna | 2.10–0.14 | 84% · 14% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Botev Vratsa |
| Slavia Sofia 2–0 Levski Sofia | 0.66–1.17 | 21% · 31% · 48% | Won against the xG: Slavia Sofia |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.