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7 of 8 matches with xG: 15 goals from 18.8 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia 3–2 Botev Plovdiv | 1.30–1.45 | 34% · 25% · 41% | Close call, Lokomotiv Sofia won |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–2 Arda Kardzhali | 0.82–0.52 | 40% · 39% · 22% | Won against the xG: Arda Kardzhali |
| Cherno More Varna 2–0 CSKA Sofia | 2.39–1.95 | 48% · 19% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Cherno More Varna |
| Beroe 0–0 Septemvri Sofia | 1.77–1.14 | 52% · 23% · 24% | Draw against the xG: Beroe had 52% |
| Spartak Varna 1–3 Levski Sofia | 0.53–2.38 | 6% · 15% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| CSKA 1948 0–0 Dobrudzha | 0.74–0.74 | 31% · 37% · 31% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 1–1 Slavia Sofia | 2.48–0.61 | 78% · 15% · 7% | Draw against the xG: Ludogorets had 78% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.