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6 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.4 xG (1.20 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montana 0–1 CSKA 1948 | 0.38–1.34 | 10% · 28% · 61% | Win in line with xG for CSKA 1948 |
| CSKA Sofia 3–1 Arda Kardzhali | 1.64–0.96 | 53% · 25% · 22% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Lokomotiv Sofia 1–3 Ludogorets | 0.22–1.89 | 4% · 18% · 79% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Levski Sofia 3–1 Botev Vratsa | 1.63–1.21 | 47% · 24% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Dobrudzha 3–0 Septemvri Sofia | 1.64–0.51 | 65% · 24% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Dobrudzha |
| Botev Plovdiv 0–0 Beroe | 1.32–0.64 | 53% · 29% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Botev Plovdiv had 53% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.