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8 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.0 xG (0.86 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna 2–2 Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.14–1.49 | 29% · 26% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| CSKA 1948 0–2 CSKA Sofia | 0.47–1.05 | 16% · 34% · 50% | Win in line with xG for CSKA Sofia |
| Arda Kardzhali 2–1 Slavia Sofia | 1.72–1.40 | 45% · 23% · 31% | Win in line with xG for Arda Kardzhali |
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Cherno More Varna | 1.41–1.74 | 31% · 23% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Ludogorets 2–1 Beroe | 3.36–0.54 | 89% · 8% · 3% | Win in line with xG for Ludogorets |
| Levski Sofia 3–0 Botev Plovdiv | 3.10–0.02 | 95% · 5% · 0% | Win in line with xG for Levski Sofia |
| Septemvri Sofia 1–0 Montana | 0.84–1.34 | 23% · 28% · 48% | Won against the xG: Septemvri Sofia |
| Botev Vratsa 0–0 Dobrudzha | 0.89–0.45 | 44% · 38% · 18% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.