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8 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 24.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Shenhua 2–2 Chongqing Tongliang Long | 2.02–1.57 | 48% · 21% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chengdu Better City 3–0 Henan Jianye | 2.12–1.53 | 51% · 21% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns | 1.26–1.18 | 38% · 27% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 1–2 Shandong Luneng | 0.62–1.77 | 12% · 22% · 65% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Shenyang Urban 1–2 Yunnan Yukun | 1.19–1.20 | 36% · 28% · 36% | Win in line with xG for Yunnan Yukun |
| Beijing Guoan 2–2 SHANGHAI SIPG | 2.08–1.23 | 57% · 21% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Beijing Guoan had 57% |
| Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 Tianjin Teda | 1.37–1.45 | 36% · 25% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Qingdao Jonoon 3–1 Dalian Zhixing | 1.64–1.94 | 33% · 22% · 45% | Close call, Qingdao Jonoon won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.