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7 of 8 matches with xG: 23 goals from 18.4 xG (1.25 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henan Jianye 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.55–0.55 | 62% · 25% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
| SHANGHAI SIPG 2–2 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.04–1.84 | 21% · 23% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Hangzhou Greentown had 56% |
| Tianjin Teda 1–2 Chengdu Better City | 0.44–1.80 | 8% · 21% · 71% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Beijing Guoan 4–2 Qingdao Jonoon | 2.84–0.98 | 76% · 14% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shenyang Urban | 2.13–1.04 | 62% · 20% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Wuhan Three Towns had 62% |
| Shandong Luneng 3–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long | 1.69–0.81 | 58% · 24% · 18% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.04–0.68 | 43% · 33% · 24% | Win in line with xG for Yunnan Yukun |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.