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6 of 8 matches with xG: 18 goals from 21.6 xG (0.83 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Youth Island 2–2 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.99–0.56 | 71% · 19% · 9% | Draw against the xG: Qingdao Youth Island had 71% |
| Henan Jianye 0–2 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.45–1.12 | 67% · 18% · 16% | Won against the xG: Hangzhou Greentown |
| Chengdu Better City 1–0 Shandong Luneng | 1.29–1.52 | 32% · 25% · 43% | Close call, Chengdu Better City won |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 2–3 Beijing Guoan | 0.55–5.32 | 1% · 2% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 3–2 Qingdao Jonoon | 2.72–1.13 | 71% · 16% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Tianjin Teda 1–0 Dalian Zhixing | 1.28–1.67 | 29% · 24% · 47% | Won against the xG: Tianjin Teda |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.