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7 of 8 matches with xG: 26 goals from 25.2 xG (1.03 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Qingdao Jonoon 4–2 Yunnan Yukun | 2.15–2.57 | 33% · 19% · 48% | Close call, Qingdao Jonoon won |
| Shenyang Urban 1–5 Shandong Luneng | 0.52–5.09 | 1% · 2% · 97% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Henan Jianye 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.01–1.11 | 33% · 30% · 38% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 2–3 Chengdu Better City | 2.46–1.97 | 49% · 19% · 31% | Close call, Chengdu Better City won |
| Beijing Guoan 1–0 Wuhan Three Towns | 2.83–0.64 | 82% · 12% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Beijing Guoan |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Tianjin Teda | 0.59–1.22 | 18% · 30% · 52% | Won against the xG: Chongqing Tongliang Long |
| Qingdao Youth Island 3–1 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.07–0.94 | 63% · 20% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Qingdao Youth Island |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.