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7 of 8 matches with xG: 16 goals from 21.3 xG (0.75 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Luneng 2–1 Beijing Guoan | 0.89–0.72 | 37% · 35% · 28% | Win in line with xG for Shandong Luneng |
| Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91–1.95 | 58% · 17% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Hangzhou Greentown had 58% |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–0 Shenyang Urban | 1.58–0.64 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Chongqing Tongliang Long |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 1–0 Tianjin Teda | 1.54–0.37 | 67% · 25% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Henan Jianye 2–1 Yunnan Yukun | 2.09–0.52 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
| SHANGHAI SIPG 4–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 4.05–1.72 | 78% · 11% · 11% | Win in line with xG for SHANGHAI SIPG |
| Chengdu Better City 1–0 Qingdao Jonoon | 1.72–0.60 | 65% · 23% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.