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8 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 23.0 xG (1.04 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing 1–0 SHANGHAI SIPG | 0.96–0.34 | 50% · 37% · 13% | Win in line with xG for Dalian Zhixing |
| Qingdao Jonoon 1–4 Hangzhou Greentown | 1.98–2.35 | 33% · 20% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Beijing Guoan 1–1 Shanghai Shenhua | 1.37–0.57 | 57% · 28% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Beijing Guoan had 57% |
| Shenyang Urban 3–0 Tianjin Teda | 2.66–2.15 | 50% · 18% · 32% | Win in line with xG for Shenyang Urban |
| Henan Jianye 1–1 Wuhan Three Towns | 1.83–0.63 | 66% · 22% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Henan Jianye had 66% |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 3–3 Chengdu Better City | 1.80–2.13 | 33% · 21% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Qingdao Youth Island 1–0 Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.79–1.05 | 55% · 23% · 22% | Win in line with xG for Qingdao Youth Island |
| Yunnan Yukun 4–0 Shandong Luneng | 0.81–0.59 | 38% · 38% · 24% | Close call, Yunnan Yukun won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.