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7 of 8 matches with xG: 25 goals from 21.9 xG (1.14 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Better City 4–0 Hangzhou Greentown | 2.30–0.75 | 72% · 17% · 11% | Win in line with xG for Chengdu Better City |
| Beijing Guoan 2–4 Tianjin Teda | 1.94–1.13 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Won against the xG: Tianjin Teda |
| Qingdao Jonoon 4–1 Shandong Luneng | 2.63–1.87 | 54% · 18% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Qingdao Jonoon |
| Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 1.19–0.33 | 58% · 31% · 10% | Draw against the xG: Chongqing Tongliang Long had 58% |
| Sichuan Jiuniu 1–0 Shenyang Urban | 1.06–0.42 | 51% · 34% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Sichuan Jiuniu |
| Dalian Zhixing 1–3 Yunnan Yukun | 2.93–1.25 | 72% · 15% · 13% | Won against the xG: Yunnan Yukun |
| Henan Jianye 0–3 Shanghai Shenhua | 0.80–3.35 | 5% · 10% · 85% | Win in line with xG for Shanghai Shenhua |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.