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7 of 8 matches with xG: 24 goals from 18.7 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long | 0.56–0.22 | 36% · 52% · 12% | Close call, Dalian Zhixing won |
| Henan Jianye 4–0 Shenyang Urban | 1.01–0.72 | 41% · 33% · 25% | Win in line with xG for Henan Jianye |
| Shandong Luneng 1–1 Qingdao Youth Island | 2.09–1.19 | 58% · 21% · 21% | Draw against the xG: Shandong Luneng had 58% |
| Tianjin Teda 2–2 Wuhan Three Towns | 1.06–1.43 | 28% · 27% · 46% | Draw in line with xG |
| Qingdao Jonoon 3–1 SHANGHAI SIPG | 1.59–1.14 | 48% · 25% · 27% | Win in line with xG for Qingdao Jonoon |
| Hangzhou Greentown 2–1 Sichuan Jiuniu | 3.02–0.88 | 80% · 12% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Hangzhou Greentown |
| Yunnan Yukun 3–3 Beijing Guoan | 1.45–2.32 | 23% · 20% · 57% | Draw against the xG: Beijing Guoan had 57% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.