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9 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 20.4 xG (0.98 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros 0–0 America de Cali | 0.06–0.53 | 3% · 57% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Once Caldas 1–3 Atletico Nacional | 1.20–1.38 | 33% · 26% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Deportivo Pasto 3–2 Deportes Tolima | 0.92–1.52 | 23% · 26% · 51% | Won against the xG: Deportivo Pasto |
| Envigado 0–1 Fortaleza FC | 0.81–1.77 | 17% · 23% · 60% | Win in line with xG for Fortaleza FC |
| Bucaramanga 1–1 Chico | 2.26–0.27 | 83% · 14% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Bucaramanga had 83% |
| Deportivo Cali 0–2 Junior | 0.68–1.96 | 12% · 20% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| Independiente Medellin 1–1 Alianza Valledupar | 0.98–1.03 | 33% · 31% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Santa Fe | 2.52–1.33 | 63% · 18% · 19% | Draw against the xG: Deportivo Pereira had 63% |
| Internacional de Bogota 0–0 Águilas Doradas | 0.59–0.57 | 29% · 43% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.