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8 of 11 matches with xG: 16 goals from 13.7 xG (1.17 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena 0–0 Llaneros | 0.59–1.47 | 15% · 26% · 59% | Draw against the xG: Llaneros had 59% |
| Deportes Tolima 0–1 Santa Fe | 0.58–0.57 | 29% · 43% · 28% | Close call, Santa Fe won |
| Águilas Doradas 2–3 Junior | 0.94–1.95 | 18% · 21% · 61% | Win in line with xG for Junior |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–0 Deportivo Pereira | 0.43–1.11 | 14% · 33% · 53% | Won against the xG: Alianza Valledupar |
| Atletico Nacional 3–1 Internacional de Bogota | 1.30–0.22 | 65% · 29% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Atletico Nacional |
| Chico 2–0 Independiente Medellin | 0.59–0.69 | 27% · 40% · 33% | Close call, Chico won |
| Envigado 0–0 Deportivo Cali | 1.03–0.12 | 60% · 36% · 4% | Draw against the xG: Envigado had 60% |
| Fortaleza FC 2–1 Once Caldas | 1.02–1.06 | 34% · 30% · 36% | Close call, Fortaleza FC won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.