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6 of 10 matches with xG: 14 goals from 12.7 xG (1.10 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Valledupar 0–1 Deportes Tolima | 0.99–0.79 | 39% · 33% · 28% | Close call, Deportes Tolima won |
| Santa Fe 0–0 Águilas Doradas | 1.37–1.20 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Draw in line with xG |
| Deportivo Pereira 2–1 Atletico Nacional | 1.11–0.79 | 43% · 31% · 26% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Pereira |
| Llaneros 2–1 Chico | 1.89–0.65 | 67% · 21% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Llaneros |
| Junior 4–1 Union Magdalena | 0.82–1.29 | 24% · 29% · 48% | Won against the xG: Junior |
| Deportivo Cali 1–1 Fortaleza FC | 0.69–1.08 | 23% · 32% · 44% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.