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10 of 10 matches with xG: 28 goals from 21.9 xG (1.28 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima 1–0 Deportivo Pereira | 0.64–0.48 | 33% · 43% · 23% | Close call, Deportes Tolima won |
| Atletico Nacional 1–1 Santa Fe | 1.34–1.09 | 42% · 27% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Chico 2–2 Deportivo Pasto | 1.28–1.17 | 39% · 27% · 34% | Draw in line with xG |
| Once Caldas 2–2 Junior | 1.52–1.42 | 40% · 25% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| America de Cali 2–1 Águilas Doradas | 1.22–1.10 | 39% · 28% · 33% | Win in line with xG for America de Cali |
| Envigado 1–1 Internacional de Bogota | 1.10–1.21 | 33% · 28% · 39% | Draw in line with xG |
| Union Magdalena 0–2 Independiente Medellin | 1.17–0.98 | 40% · 29% · 31% | Close call, Independiente Medellin won |
| Fortaleza FC 2–2 Alianza Valledupar | 0.46–0.55 | 24% · 46% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Bucaramanga 2–3 Deportivo Cali | 1.22–2.04 | 22% · 21% · 56% | Win in line with xG for Deportivo Cali |
| Millonarios 0–1 Llaneros | 1.26–0.61 | 52% · 30% · 18% | Won against the xG: Llaneros |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.