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9 of 10 matches with xG: 21 goals from 19.6 xG (1.07 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota 0–1 Union Magdalena | 0.77–0.97 | 28% · 33% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Union Magdalena |
| Deportivo Cali 0–3 Llaneros | 1.65–1.42 | 43% · 24% · 33% | Close call, Llaneros won |
| Junior 2–0 Chico | 0.52–0.74 | 23% · 40% · 37% | Close call, Junior won |
| Deportes Tolima 0–0 Atletico Nacional | 1.55–0.13 | 75% · 23% · 3% | Draw against the xG: Deportes Tolima had 75% |
| Santa Fe 2–1 America de Cali | 0.49–1.70 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Won against the xG: Santa Fe |
| Deportivo Pereira 2–1 Once Caldas | 0.90–0.92 | 33% · 33% · 34% | Close call, Deportivo Pereira won |
| Alianza Valledupar 1–3 Bucaramanga | 1.71–1.27 | 48% · 24% · 28% | Won against the xG: Bucaramanga |
| Independiente Medellin 1–0 Millonarios | 1.23–0.75 | 48% · 30% · 23% | Win in line with xG for Independiente Medellin |
| Águilas Doradas 2–2 Fortaleza FC | 1.22–1.69 | 28% · 24% · 48% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.