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9 of 10 matches with xG: 20 goals from 16.8 xG (1.19 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Magdalena 1–1 Deportivo Pasto | 1.32–0.54 | 56% · 29% · 15% | Draw against the xG: Union Magdalena had 56% |
| Atletico Nacional 3–0 Alianza Valledupar | 0.68–0.66 | 31% · 39% · 30% | Close call, Atletico Nacional won |
| Millonarios 3–3 Deportivo Cali | 2.00–1.19 | 56% · 22% · 22% | Draw against the xG: Millonarios had 56% |
| Once Caldas 1–1 Águilas Doradas | 0.70–1.79 | 14% · 22% · 64% | Draw against the xG: Águilas Doradas had 64% |
| America de Cali 0–1 Deportes Tolima | 1.48–0.77 | 54% · 26% · 19% | Won against the xG: Deportes Tolima |
| Bucaramanga 2–1 Santa Fe | 1.73–0.10 | 79% · 19% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Bucaramanga |
| Envigado 1–1 Junior | 0.90–0.65 | 39% · 36% · 25% | Draw in line with xG |
| Fortaleza FC 0–0 Deportivo Pereira | 0.51–0.74 | 23% · 41% · 37% | Draw in line with xG |
| Llaneros 0–1 Independiente Medellin | 0.61–0.39 | 34% · 46% · 20% | Close call, Independiente Medellin won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.