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5 of 5 matches with xG: 10 goals from 12.5 xG (0.80 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Varazdin 1–3 Istra 1961 | 2.95–0.95 | 78% · 13% · 9% | Won against the xG: Istra 1961 |
| NK Osijek 0–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 0.89–0.67 | 39% · 36% · 26% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.79–0.51 | 69% · 21% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Vukovar | 3.02–0.20 | 92% · 7% · 1% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| HNK Rijeka 1–0 HNK Gorica | 0.87–0.64 | 39% · 36% · 25% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.