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5 of 5 matches with xG: 15 goals from 16.0 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 3.18–0.61 | 87% · 9% · 4% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Istra 1961 2–3 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.35–1.00 | 67% · 18% · 15% | Won against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| HNK Gorica 0–2 NK Osijek | 1.07–2.71 | 12% · 16% · 72% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| NK Varazdin 2–1 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.15–1.08 | 37% · 29% · 34% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Rijeka 2–1 Rudes | 2.49–0.38 | 84% · 12% · 4% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.