HNL 2026/2027 xG Round-Up: Matchday 2

Matchday 2 in xG

4 of 5 matches with xG: 20 goals from 12.2 xG (1.64 goals per xG).

• Most xG without a win: HNK Hajduk Split 2–2 Istra 1961 (xG 1.72–0.96). Draw against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split had 55% to win on xG.
• Biggest win against the xG: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–1 HNK Gorica (xG 1.13–1.52). The winner had 28% on xG.
• Win most in line with xG: Rudes 1–6 NK Osijek (xG 0.60–2.69). The winner had 81% on xG.
• Most xG: NK Slaven Belupo 1–4 NK Varazdin (xG 0.83–2.74). 3.57 xG in all.
• Most one-sided: Rudes 1–6 NK Osijek (xG 0.60–2.69). An xG gap of 2.09.
• Most goals above xG: NK Osijek, +3.31 goals above xG.
• Most goals below xG: HNK Gorica, -0.52 goals below xG.

Every match

Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.

More matchdays

Matchday 1 · Matchday 3