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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 14.5 xG (0.90 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Zagreb 4–0 Rudes | 3.40–0.39 | 92% · 6% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
| Istra 1961 3–0 NK Slaven Belupo | 2.85–0.30 | 89% · 9% · 2% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Osijek 1–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.70–0.92 | 56% · 24% · 20% | Win in line with xG for NK Osijek |
| NK Varazdin 2–0 HNK Rijeka | 1.75–0.72 | 62% · 23% · 15% | Win in line with xG for NK Varazdin |
| HNK Gorica 1–2 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.27–1.20 | 38% · 27% · 35% | Close call, HNK Hajduk Split won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.