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5 of 5 matches with xG: 13 goals from 11.7 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes 2–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 0.48–1.99 | 8% · 19% · 73% | Draw against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo had 73% |
| NK Varazdin 0–0 NK Osijek | 0.81–0.59 | 38% · 38% · 24% | Draw in line with xG |
| Istra 1961 0–1 HNK Gorica | 1.21–0.61 | 51% · 31% · 19% | Won against the xG: HNK Gorica |
| HNK Rijeka 3–0 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.46–1.28 | 41% · 25% · 33% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| Dinamo Zagreb 3–2 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.88–1.42 | 48% · 22% · 29% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.