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5 of 5 matches with xG: 16 goals from 14.8 xG (1.08 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 1–2 Rudes | 1.25–1.61 | 30% · 25% · 46% | Win in line with xG for Rudes |
| HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 Dinamo Zagreb | 1.05–1.39 | 28% · 27% · 45% | Won against the xG: HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Osijek 1–3 Istra 1961 | 0.73–2.58 | 8% · 15% · 77% | Win in line with xG for Istra 1961 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 0–1 NK Varazdin | 1.12–1.12 | 36% · 29% · 36% | Close call, NK Varazdin won |
| NK Slaven Belupo 4–1 HNK Rijeka | 1.81–2.12 | 34% · 21% · 46% | Close call, NK Slaven Belupo won |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.