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5 of 5 matches with xG: 14 goals from 14.8 xG (0.94 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rudes 1–2 HNK Rijeka | 0.71–1.10 | 24% · 32% · 45% | Win in line with xG for HNK Rijeka |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 2–0 Istra 1961 | 1.49–0.58 | 60% · 26% · 14% | Win in line with xG for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb |
| NK Osijek 1–1 HNK Gorica | 1.74–0.58 | 66% · 23% · 12% | Draw against the xG: NK Osijek had 66% |
| HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Varazdin | 1.43–1.25 | 41% · 26% · 33% | Win in line with xG for HNK Hajduk Split |
| NK Slaven Belupo 1–5 Dinamo Zagreb | 2.19–3.78 | 19% · 14% · 67% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.