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5 of 5 matches with xG: 11 goals from 11.9 xG (0.92 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Gorica 0–0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.39–0.86 | 49% · 27% · 23% | Draw in line with xG |
| NK Varazdin 1–2 NK Slaven Belupo | 1.54–0.62 | 60% · 25% · 15% | Won against the xG: NK Slaven Belupo |
| NK Osijek 0–1 Rudes | 0.62–1.89 | 11% · 21% · 68% | Win in line with xG for Rudes |
| Istra 1961 2–2 HNK Hajduk Split | 1.59–1.48 | 40% · 24% · 36% | Draw in line with xG |
| Dinamo Zagreb 2–1 HNK Rijeka | 1.54–0.42 | 65% · 25% · 10% | Win in line with xG for Dinamo Zagreb |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.