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8 of 8 matches with xG: 29 goals from 25.2 xG (1.15 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca 1–1 Macara | 1.56–1.23 | 45% · 25% · 30% | Draw in line with xG |
| Barcelona SC 2–0 Orense SC | 2.24–0.65 | 74% · 17% · 9% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona SC |
| Independiente del Valle 1–0 El Nacional | 0.81–0.44 | 42% · 40% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Independiente del Valle |
| LDU de Quito 2–1 Mushuc Runa SC | 2.65–0.34 | 86% · 11% · 3% | Win in line with xG for LDU de Quito |
| Universidad Catolica 6–2 Aucas | 2.36–1.26 | 62% · 19% · 19% | Win in line with xG for Universidad Catolica |
| Tecnico Universitario 3–1 Manta FC | 3.73–1.02 | 85% · 9% · 6% | Win in line with xG for Tecnico Universitario |
| Libertad 1–2 Emelec | 1.39–1.49 | 35% · 25% · 40% | Win in line with xG for Emelec |
| Delfin SC 3–3 Cuniburo | 2.90–1.15 | 73% · 15% · 12% | Draw against the xG: Delfin SC had 73% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.