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7 of 8 matches with xG: 11 goals from 15.1 xG (0.73 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orense SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica | 0.49–1.71 | 10% · 23% · 67% | Draw against the xG: Universidad Catolica had 67% |
| Mushuc Runa SC 1–2 Libertad | 2.12–1.12 | 60% · 20% · 19% | Won against the xG: Libertad |
| Aucas 1–0 LDU de Quito | 0.88–1.06 | 30% · 31% · 39% | Close call, Aucas won |
| Manta FC 0–0 Independiente del Valle | 0.33–0.86 | 14% · 40% · 47% | Draw in line with xG |
| Macara 0–0 Delfin SC | 1.14–0.19 | 61% · 32% · 6% | Draw against the xG: Macara had 61% |
| El Nacional 1–2 Barcelona SC | 0.86–1.55 | 21% · 26% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Barcelona SC |
| Emelec 1–1 Deportivo Cuenca | 1.72–1.11 | 52% · 24% · 25% | Draw against the xG: Emelec had 52% |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.