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12 of 12 matches with xG: 34 goals from 30.3 xG (1.12 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd 0–3 Hull City | 1.19–0.46 | 54% · 31% · 14% | Won against the xG: Hull City |
| Luton 0–1 Millwall | 1.45–1.60 | 35% · 24% · 41% | Win in line with xG for Millwall |
| Norwich 5–1 Swansea | 3.02–1.33 | 71% · 15% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Norwich |
| Stoke City 0–0 Oxford United | 0.39–1.17 | 12% · 32% · 56% | Draw against the xG: Oxford United had 56% |
| Bristol City 2–1 Blackburn | 1.93–1.89 | 40% · 21% · 39% | Win in line with xG for Bristol City |
| Cardiff 2–1 Derby | 2.78–1.23 | 70% · 16% · 14% | Win in line with xG for Cardiff |
| Coventry 2–1 Watford | 1.44–0.60 | 58% · 27% · 15% | Win in line with xG for Coventry |
| Preston 2–1 Middlesbrough | 0.41–1.33 | 11% · 29% · 60% | Won against the xG: Preston |
| QPR 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday | 0.38–0.91 | 15% · 38% · 47% | Win in line with xG for Sheffield Wednesday |
| Sunderland 2–2 Plymouth | 0.58–0.96 | 21% · 35% · 43% | Draw in line with xG |
| West Brom 5–1 Portsmouth | 2.99–1.70 | 64% · 16% · 20% | Win in line with xG for West Brom |
| Burnley 0–0 Leeds | 0.19–0.39 | 12% · 60% · 28% | Draw in line with xG |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.