Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 28 goals from 33.0 xG (0.85 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley 1–0 Oxford United | 1.60–0.25 | 72% · 23% · 5% | Win in line with xG for Burnley |
| QPR 2–1 Blackburn | 1.28–1.60 | 31% · 25% · 45% | Close call, QPR won |
| Coventry 0–2 Leeds | 0.50–3.64 | 2% · 6% · 92% | Win in line with xG for Leeds |
| Sunderland 2–2 Watford | 2.97–1.54 | 67% · 16% · 18% | Draw against the xG: Sunderland had 67% |
| West Brom 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday | 1.59–1.38 | 42% · 24% · 33% | Win in line with xG for West Brom |
| Norwich 1–1 Derby | 0.69–1.10 | 23% · 32% · 45% | Draw in line with xG |
| Sheffield Utd 2–1 Portsmouth | 1.12–3.06 | 11% · 13% · 76% | Won against the xG: Sheffield Utd |
| Bristol City 0–1 Swansea | 1.04–1.75 | 22% · 24% · 54% | Win in line with xG for Swansea |
| Preston 1–1 Millwall | 1.42–0.33 | 65% · 27% · 8% | Draw against the xG: Preston had 65% |
| Luton 1–1 Plymouth | 1.74–0.26 | 75% · 20% · 5% | Draw against the xG: Luton had 75% |
| Cardiff 1–0 Hull City | 0.47–0.22 | 32% · 55% · 13% | Close call, Cardiff won |
| Stoke City 1–3 Middlesbrough | 1.24–2.19 | 21% · 20% · 59% | Win in line with xG for Middlesbrough |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.