Loading the map…
12 of 12 matches with xG: 39 goals from 35.2 xG (1.11 goals per xG).
| Match | xG | Chances (home · draw · away) | Result on xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham 2–3 West Brom | 2.01–2.37 | 34% · 19% · 47% | Win in line with xG for West Brom |
| Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich | 1.76–1.96 | 35% · 21% · 43% | Win in line with xG for Norwich |
| Derby 3–5 Coventry | 1.43–3.24 | 13% · 14% · 73% | Win in line with xG for Coventry |
| Millwall 0–3 Middlesbrough | 0.60–0.99 | 22% · 34% · 44% | Win in line with xG for Middlesbrough |
| Bristol City 0–0 Charlton | 0.73–0.96 | 27% · 34% · 40% | Draw in line with xG |
| Preston 2–1 Leicester | 2.48–0.92 | 71% · 17% · 12% | Win in line with xG for Preston |
| Blackburn 1–2 Birmingham | 0.43–2.00 | 7% · 18% · 75% | Win in line with xG for Birmingham |
| Watford 2–1 QPR | 2.06–0.50 | 74% · 18% · 8% | Win in line with xG for Watford |
| Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Stoke City | 1.50–2.06 | 28% · 21% · 51% | Win in line with xG for Stoke City |
| Swansea 1–0 Sheffield Utd | 1.34–0.58 | 55% · 28% · 16% | Win in line with xG for Swansea |
| Ipswich 1–1 Southampton | 1.64–0.75 | 59% · 24% · 17% | Draw against the xG: Ipswich had 59% |
| Hull City 3–2 Oxford United | 1.91–1.02 | 58% · 22% · 20% | Win in line with xG for Hull City |
Each side's goals as a Poisson count of its full-time xG: what the chances made likely, not a prediction or a tip.